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Рубрика: Previews and Perspectives

PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR FRIDAY, SEP 13

US/China may be moving towards a more limited trade agreement — The U.S. and China, apparently realizing that a full trade deal is a long way off, seem to be focusing on a narrower deal.  Bloomberg on Thursday reported that Trump administration officials are discussing the possibility of offering China an «interim» trade agreement that would […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES

Sharp drop in global bond yields indicates markets expect rough sledding ahead for the global economy — President Trump’s announcement last Thursday of another round of tariffs on Chinese goods triggered new concern about deteriorating global economic conditions.  That concern has mainly been displayed by the sharp drop in global bond yields.  Global stock markets have […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR WEDNESDAY, AUG 7

Kudlow says U.S. still expects early-Sep trade talks but China may need another cooling-off period — The markets are waiting to see if China will announce any further retaliatory moves in response to President Trump’s announcement last Thursday of a 10% tariff on another $300 billion of Chinese goods effective Sep 1.  China may wait to […]

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Previews and Perspectives for Tuesday, Aug 6

US/Chinese trade war is quickly moving towards maximum pressure — Global investors on Monday were surprised by the extent of China’s in-your-face retaliation with its move to halt all purchases of U.S. farm products and cause the yuan to fall beyond the psychological level of 7 yuan/USD to a new 11-year low.  Moreover, there is likely […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR FRIDAY, AUG 2

U.S. tariff policy is morphing into a disengagement policy — President Trump early Thursday afternoon announced that he will place a 10% tariff on another $300 billion of Chinese goods effective September 1, adding to the 25% tariff that is already on $250 billion of Chinese goods. Mr. Trump gave China no chance to avert the […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR THURSDAY, AUG 1

Markets are largely undaunted about expecting further Fed rate cuts — The stock market fell fairly sharply after Fed Chair Powell said that Wednesday’s -25 bp rate cut was not the beginning of a long string of rate cuts but was simply a «mid-cycle adjustment.»  In addition, two FOMC members dissented from the decision and voted […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR TUESDAY, JULY 30

Markets key on Fed’s post-cut stance — A -25 bp rate cut is a foregone conclusion from the 2-day FOMC meeting that begins today.  The market is discounting a 100% chance of a -25 bp rate cut and only a 20% chance of a -50 bp rate cut today. The main question is the Fed’s stance […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR MONDAY, JULY 29

Weekly global market focus — The U.S. markets this week will focus on (1) market expectations for the FOMC at its meeting on Tues/Wed to cut the funds rate target by -25 bp, (2) the US/Chinese trade talks on Tuesday and Wednesday in Shanghai, (3) the peak Q2 earnings week with reports from 167 of the […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR FRIDAY, JULY 26

China announces tariff-free purchases of more U.S. farm products ahead of next week’s US/Chinese trade talks — Bloomberg on Thursday reported that the Chinese government has waived tariffs for several of its domestic companies to buy U.S. cotton, corn, sorghum, and pork.  That followed Wednesday’s Bloomberg report that China waived tariffs for five Chinese companies to […]

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Previews and Perspectives for Thursday, July 25

ECB expected to pave the way for a rate cut in September — The consensus is that the ECB at its meeting today will revise its guidance language to indicate that a -10 bp rate cut is coming at its next meeting in September.  The ECB could cut rates as soon as today, and the market […]

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