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Рубрика: Previews and Perspectives

PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR FRIDAY, DEC 13

Worst of the US/China trade war may be over — There were various media reports late Thursday afternoon that President Trump at his mid-afternoon meeting with advisors signed off on the US/China phase-one trade deal.  However, the administration as of Thursday evening had yet to officially announce the agreement or provide any details. The markets are […]

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Перед открытием рынка

Мартовские фьючерсы на акции E-mini сегодня утром выросли на +12,25 пункта (+ 0,39%) на максимуме контракта, а ближайшие фьючерсы (Z19) поднялись до нового рекордного максимума на фоне ралли на мировых фондовых рынках после объявления о заключении сделки первой фазы между США и Китай Европейские акции выросли на 1,33% до максимума за 4-1 / 2 года, […]

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ОБЗОРЫ И ПЕРСПЕКТИВЫ НА Четверг, 12 декабря

FOMC считает, что удержание политики продлится до 2020 года. Рынок отреагировал на заседание FEDC в вторник и среднюю среду слегка голубоватым тоном с небольшим разворотом в 3-4 б.п. в фьючерсных контрактах федеральных фондов на 2021 г. и падением на -2 б.п. T-note уступает. Доходность ГКО немного снизилась, отчасти благодаря комментарию председателя ФРС Пауэлла о том, […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR THURSDAY, NOV 14

Powell confirms policy hold but says there are still «noteworthy risks» — Fed Chair Powell yesterday in testimony to the Joint Economic Committee of Congress reiterated his recent themes and didn’t say anything particularly new or market-moving.  Mr. Powell will appear today before the House Budget Committee and will undoubtedly repeat yesterday’s themes, although questions from […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR FRIDAY, SEP 13

US/China may be moving towards a more limited trade agreement — The U.S. and China, apparently realizing that a full trade deal is a long way off, seem to be focusing on a narrower deal.  Bloomberg on Thursday reported that Trump administration officials are discussing the possibility of offering China an «interim» trade agreement that would […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES

Sharp drop in global bond yields indicates markets expect rough sledding ahead for the global economy — President Trump’s announcement last Thursday of another round of tariffs on Chinese goods triggered new concern about deteriorating global economic conditions.  That concern has mainly been displayed by the sharp drop in global bond yields.  Global stock markets have […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR WEDNESDAY, AUG 7

Kudlow says U.S. still expects early-Sep trade talks but China may need another cooling-off period — The markets are waiting to see if China will announce any further retaliatory moves in response to President Trump’s announcement last Thursday of a 10% tariff on another $300 billion of Chinese goods effective Sep 1.  China may wait to […]

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Previews and Perspectives for Tuesday, Aug 6

US/Chinese trade war is quickly moving towards maximum pressure — Global investors on Monday were surprised by the extent of China’s in-your-face retaliation with its move to halt all purchases of U.S. farm products and cause the yuan to fall beyond the psychological level of 7 yuan/USD to a new 11-year low.  Moreover, there is likely […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR FRIDAY, AUG 2

U.S. tariff policy is morphing into a disengagement policy — President Trump early Thursday afternoon announced that he will place a 10% tariff on another $300 billion of Chinese goods effective September 1, adding to the 25% tariff that is already on $250 billion of Chinese goods. Mr. Trump gave China no chance to avert the […]

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PREVIEWS AND PERSPECTIVES FOR THURSDAY, AUG 1

Markets are largely undaunted about expecting further Fed rate cuts — The stock market fell fairly sharply after Fed Chair Powell said that Wednesday’s -25 bp rate cut was not the beginning of a long string of rate cuts but was simply a «mid-cycle adjustment.»  In addition, two FOMC members dissented from the decision and voted […]

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